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 The Squandering Of $45 Trillion For An Imaginary Threat

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Posts : 7972
Join date : 2012-05-29
Location : Manchester UK

PostSubject: The Squandering Of $45 Trillion For An Imaginary Threat   Mon 15 Oct 2012, 18:26

The Squandering Of $45 Trillion For An Imaginary Threat

Posted by
Alexander Higgins -
August 23, 2012 at 4:59 am -
Source via Alexander Higgins Blog

The objections of tens of thousands of scientists goes ignored as
the global warming hoax is being used to squander $45 trillion from the

If you have any doubt about the global warming hoax or somehow have
been deceived by the corporate media into believing that the verdict is
out on climate change the open letter below should clear up the subject.

While you may not buy into the premise of massive global
conspiracies, just like the LIBOR rigging scandal, this one is real and
the hoax has been repeatedly disproved.

In fact, the letter I show below is prominently linked to on the home page of the Western Australian Skeptics Association and if your not familiar with the skeptics movement it consists of debunkers,
in many case doing so for academic notoriety or to get rewards or
scholarships of up to $100,000 and higher, that run sites like this and this go around debunking and making fun of conspiracies theories and ‘troll’ discussion forums like GodLikeProductions and /r/conspiracy on forums like /r/conspiratard causing drama like this.

Point being, is this isn’t some crackpot conspiracy that can’t be
substantiated and instead is accepted by critical thinkers who are
skeptical of anything that isn’t supported by facts and scientific data
to back it up and even they accept it.

So here’s the highlights for those who don’t like long reads:

LIE: Media outlets repeatedly parroted statements
politicians’ statements from governments worldwide claiming 4,000 IPCC
scientists appointed from nearly every government on the globe had
agreed that human’s were influencing climate change.

TRUTH:80% of IPCC members weren’t even scientists.
Those that were received their funding from governments who wanted
certain findings. Reports from IPCC scientists who submitted results
contrary to the expect outcome did not have their work accepted. Of that
only Fifty-three authors and five reviewers are all that can be said to
explicitly support the claim of a significant human influence
on climate and even those people made their claim of support based on
research of other IPCC scientists which had been altered and

LIE: The mainstream scientific consensus, including
that of the 4,000 IPCC scientist had agreed. “The evidence was in the
global warming debate was over and it has been confirmed to be due to
the man-made causes”

Truth: The views of those few author and viewers is
disputed by Tens of Thousands of reputable mainstream scientists who
turned activist in objection to the IPCC’s junk science only to be
entirely disregarded.

The article goes into much more detail, like the purposeful omission
of temperatures doing he medieval period which showed global
temperatures much higher than they are now, how corporate media news
outlets pressured reporters not write anything that was was critical of
the consensus of the scientific community, how global ocean temperatures
were excluded even thought they showed cooling, how a clique of
scientists prevented anything contrary to ‘concensus’ from achieving
peer-reviewed status, how satellite data was ignored and much more.

It also delves into who suffers – the global consumers who are being
squandered for $45,000,000,000,000 dollars – and who benefits – the
carbon traders who are becoming billionaires of the hoax that is
destroying economies around the globe.

IPCC’s abuse of science 1
An open letter to Australia’s Chief Scientist
Professor Penny Sackett December 2009

By John Happs

Dr Happs is a former lecturer in
the geosciences and author of numerous science texts and book chapters.
This is his open letter of 20 December 2009 to Australia’s then Chief
Scientist Professor Penny Sackett. It surveys (with many quotes) the
whistle blowing that uncovered abuse of science by the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change — an abuse that promises to be the worst
scandal in science’s history. The letter has also been circulated to
Australian senators. This website version has been slightly abridged and
updated. The headings and graphs have been added. An update was added
as a postcript in December 2010. Professor Sackett never replied, so Dr
Happs has sent a second open letter to the new Chief
Scientist, Professor Ian Chubb. This second letter has mostly new
content, and is on this website in two parts. Don’t miss it! Now back to
Professor Sackett:

Dear Professor Sackett,

In my email to you of 20 June 2009 I criticised politicians for so
quickly embracing the unproven notion, put out by the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), of man-made global warming and
catastrophic climate change. You did not respond to my email. Neither
did you acknowledge receiving it.

In my email I reminded you of your position on global warming. ABC
journalist Sabra Lane quotes you as saying “The evidence is clear the
planet is warming due to human activity. … It is also clear that the
largest portion of that [warming] is due to human action. That is,
through deforestation and emissions of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere”. Similarly, when Peter Mares interviewed you on Radio
National (3 April 2009), you said “The primary task of a Chief Scientist
is to advise the government in an independent manner on all things
scientific”. Furthermore, “The government respects that the advice must
be independent and the Chief Scientist respects that the government
shouldn’t be surprised by any advice. That is to say that we consult
carefully before giving it”.

IPCC criticised by tens of thousands of informed scientists
But I also reminded you that tens of thousands of informed scientists
have criticised the IPCC’s findings. So I urged you to look up their
conclusions on the internet. The main petitions are: The Heidelberg
Appeal (4000 signatures including 62 Nobel prizewinners), The Oregon
Petition (31,000 accredited scientists), The Manhattan Declaration (600
research climatologists), The Petition to the United Nations (100
geoscientists), Petition to the Canadian Prime Minister (60 climate
experts), The Leipzig Declaration (100 geoscientists), The Statement
from Atmospheric Scientists (50), Petition to the German Chancellor (200
German scientists), Statement from the American Physical Society (150
physical scientists), Petition to President Obama (100 leading climate
researchers), UN Climate Scientists speak out on Global Warming (700,
many previously involved with the IPCC). All are critical of the notion
of man-made global warming, and all of them (with signatures and
accreditations) are accessible via Google.

I also provided you with numerous quotes from scientists who had been
involved with the IPCC as reviewers and/or contributors. They were
extremely critical of the IPCC process, and I would have expected you to
take those statements seriously. For instance Dr Vincent Gray, climate
consultant, long-standing member of the New Zealand Royal Society and
expert reviewer for the IPCC, publicly described the IPCC’s climate
change statements as “An orchestrated litany of lies”. To support the
IPCC’s statements seems to embrace political correctness and ideology,
certainly not science.

IPCC charter seems biased
Some politicians still see the IPCC as being the gold standard of
climate science. In fact the IPCC is a single-interest organisation that
was established twenty years ago. Right from the start it assumed a
widespread human influence on climate. Its charter was To assess the
scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant for the
understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change
. Such a
charter makes it unlikely that the other factors influencing climate
change would be taken seriously. In short, the IPCC’s agenda appears to
be political and ideological rather than scientific. As I show below,
its integrity is now being challenged by the broader scientific

Many IPCC members are not scientists
Dr John Christy, Professor of Atmospheric Science and Director of the
Earth System Science Centre at the University of Alabama, says “It is
well known that many, if not most, of [the IPCC's] members are not
scientists at all. Its president, for example, is an economist”.

Dr William Schlesinger, biogeochemist and president of the Cary
Institute of Ecosystem Studies, notes that 80% of the IPCC’s member had
absolutely no dealing with climate as part of their academic studies.

Professor Paul Reiter, from the Institut Pasteur in Paris, gave
written evidence to the Select Committee on Economic Affairs about the IPCC Second Assessment Report, Working Group 11,
Chapter 18 on Human Population Health. He said “The amateurish text of
the chapter reflected the limited knowledge of the 22 authors”.

Interestingly, politicians and the media have never noticed that the
IPCC’s president Rajendra Pachauri has no scientific qualifications, yet
is able to speak with “certainty” about climate science. Additionally
it appears that Pachauri has established a worldwide portfolio of
business interests, where large amounts of money are being invested in
organisations that could benefit from the IPCC’s policy recommendations.
Which leads to my next point.

Who stands to gain from emissions trading?
Pachauri is not the only person who stands to gain from emissions
trading, which is essentially paying money for the privilege of
generating carbon dioxide. Fred Lucas works at the Capital Research
Centre which monitors non-profit organisations. He points out that Al
Gore “Has cast his net in green technology. Potentially the most
lucrative source of cash flow for Gore is his partnership in the venture
capital firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, which this year
formed two funds that will invest $1.2 billion in environmentally
friendly companies”. Furthermore, “Gore is also co-founder and chairman
of London-based Generation Investment Management that collaborates with
Kleiner Perkins on seeking out investments in “sustainability”. He’s
also invested $35 million in a hedge fund, Capricorn Investment Group
LLC, of Palo Alto, California. Founded by former eBay president Jeff
Skoll (who helped bankroll Gore’s book An Inconvenient Truth), Capricorn invests its clients’ funds in makers of eco-friendly products”.

There are countless other vested interests besides those of Pachauri
and Gore. Around the world huge amounts of government money have been
made available for research on climate change. Inserting the words
“climate change” into a grant proposal, and exaggerating the impact of
global warming, puts you ahead of the crowd. From individual researchers
to whole institutes, it appears to be a matter of toeing the IPCC party
line in exchange for cash bonanzas.

Two examples of distortion
Dr Richard Courtney relates how the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration asked him to be a peer reviewer for the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report.
He explains what happened: “My review of its First Draft was damning,
but the Second Draft retained all the basic faults I had pointed out. I
made comments on the Second Draft but they were also ignored”.

Dr Willem de Lange, an expert in Oceanography, coastal processes and
climatic hazards, was listed by the IPCC as one of approximately 4000
scientists who agreed that there was a discernable human influence on
climate. But he did not agree with the IPCC projections of sea
level rise and threats to Pacific Islands. Instead he had indicated how
research clearly shows that coral atolls and associated islands are
likely to increase (not decrease) in elevation as sea level rises. So
the IPCC’s assumptions were invalid, and he was convinced that the
IPCC’s projections were unrealistic. The IPCC ignored his comments.

Where are the IPCC’s “thousands of scientists”?
I’ve heard several politicians referring to the “thousands of
scientists” supposedly associated with the IPCC. For instance the then
Prime Minister Kevin Rudd said “This is the conclusion of 4000
scientists appointed by governments from virtually every country in the
world, and the term “very likely” is defined in the scientific conclusion of this [IPCC] report as being 90% probable”.

On the other hand, statistician Dr John McLean has many years
experience investigating and analysing climate data and other
climate-related issues. He makes the comment “How many times have you
heard or read words to the effect that 4000 scientists from the IPCC
support the claims about a significant human influence on climate? It’s
utterly wrong”. In fact “Fifty-three authors and five reviewers are all
that can be said to explicitly support the claim of a
significant human influence on climate. The figure of 4000 is a myth”.
Indeed, against these few authors and reviewers are the tens of
thousands of informed contrary views mentioned earlier. In other words,
contrary to what Kevin Rudd implies, the consensus of informed scientists is against the IPCC.

An unjustified U-turn
Dr McLean has also noted how the IPCC’s draft 1995 Scientific Report
included the following three statements that express doubt about
man-made effects: “None of the [scientific] studies cited above has
shown clear evidence that we can attribute the observed [climate]
changes to the specific cause of increases in greenhouse gases”. “No
study to date has positively attributed all or part [of observed climate
change] to anthropogenic causes”. “Any claims of positive detection of
significant climate change are likely to remain controversial until
uncertainties in the total natural variability of the climate system are
reduced”. But in the IPCC’s later Summary Report for Policymakers,
widely distributed through the media and governments, the above three
statements had been replaced with this contrary statement: “The balance
of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate”.
Such a U-turn was not justified by the scientific evidence, yet
politicians seemed oblivious to the problem.

Reliable data is being ignored
Additionally, the IPCC has essentially ignored temperature data from
uncontaminated sources such as mountain-top weather stations,
satellites, and radio-sonde balloons, ie data that is free from the heat
effects of human habitation. Instead, they have used notoriously
unreliable temperature data that had been collated and stored at the
Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia (of which more
below). The IPCC also ignored data from the Argo Network of over 3000
worldwide ocean buoys that shows ocean cooling (not warming). In other
words the IPCC’s statements about temperature trends, which have overly
influenced trusting politicians around the world, are likely to be more
or less worthless.

The world has
been warming since the Little Ice Age of the 1700s, long before the rise
in man-made carbon dioxide. But since 2001, satellite data show the
world has been cooling despite the continuing rise in carbon dioxide.
This does not mean that global warming is over, only that something
other than carbon dioxide is the main driver of temperature change. ppm =
parts per million. 100 ppm = 0.01%. This graph was not included in the
original letter and is redrawn from For the
latest update visit
Whistleblowers uncover a likely scandal
Many scientists have been warning politicians for some time that the
storm clouds are gathering, and that the IPCC saga is likely to be the
biggest scandal in the history of science. Accordingly, Professor
Sackett, I trust you have been keeping up to date with the latest
developments at the University of East Anglia and elsewhere. Let me give
you a synopsis:

At the end of 2009 about 1000 emails and 3000 documents located on
the Climatic Research Unit server at the University of East Anglia were
hacked and leaked by whistleblowers. Collectively the leaked material
reveals serious abuse of the scientific process. Climate scientist
Professor Tim Ball was explicit about the emails and documents: “The
argument that global warming is due to humans, known as the
anthropogenic [man-made] global warming theory, is a deliberate fraud. I
can now make that statement without fear of contradiction because of a
remarkable hacking of files that provided not just a smoking gun, but an
entire battery of smoking guns. … Carbon dioxide was never a problem
and all the machinations and deceptions exposed by these files prove
that it is the greatest deception in history, but nobody is laughing. It
is a very sad day for science”.

The rest of my letter gives examples from the leaked emails that
document the IPCC’s abuse of the scientific process. The abuses appear
to include suppression of inconvenient evidence, manipulation of data,
conspiracy to withhold data, dishonesty, and pressuring critical journal
editors. It could hardly get any worse.

Clique of authors
The emails seem to reveal a clique of authors working covertly to ensure
that only those papers supporting man-made global warming were
published. Statistician Professor Wegman, in his report to the National
Academy of Science, named those standing at the centre of this scandal.
Climate scientist Professor Tim Ball has done the same, saying “The
dominant names involved are ones I have followed throughout my career
including Phil Jones (Director of the Climate Research Unit at the
University of East Anglia), Benjamin Santer, Michael Mann (Director of
the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University), Kevin
Trenberth, Jonathan Overpeck, Ken Briffa and Tom Wigley. I have watched
climate science hijacked and corrupted by this small group of

In effect a small clique of scientists controlled the IPCC, the IPCC’s crucial report chapters, and the IPCC’s Summary for Policy Makers which went out to politicians and the media. Remember their names because they appear again and again in the cases that follow.

Pressure on editors
Emails uncovered by the whistleblowers indicate that pressure was
brought to bear on editors of journals that published papers arguing
against the IPCC agenda. For instance, in one email Phil Jones says “He
and Kevin [Trenberth] will keep some papers out of the next IPCC
report”. And in email exchanges between Jones, Director of the Climate
Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, and Michael Mann,
Director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State
University, they discuss how they could pressure an academic journal to
reject the work of climate skeptics with whom they disagree. Thus Jones
says “I will be emailing the journal to tell them I’m having nothing
more to do with it until they rid themselves of this troublesome

In other emails Grant Foster appeared to be looking for comments
about a paper that was critical of the notion of man-made global
warming. Jones gave Foster a list of people, telling him that “These
reviewers would know what to say about the paper [i.e. bad things]
without any prompting”. Similarly, when Ken Briffa discusses a skeptical
article with Ed Cook, he says in confidence that he needs to put
together a case to reject that article. And when discussing the IPCC’s
draft Fourth Assessment Report, Mann acknowledges that the paleoclimate chapter would be contentious, but they have the right people to deal with it.

Professor Wegman went on to warn “It is immediately clear that Mann,
Rutherford, Jones, Osborn, Briffa, Bradley and Hughes form a clique,
each interacting with all of the others. A clique is a fully connected
subgraph, meaning everyone in the clique interacts with everyone else in
the clique”.

Manipulation of data
The emails also appear to indicate that the clique manipulated data to
favour the notion of unprecedented man-made global warming. Such
manipulation of data, for political and/or ideological reasons, is
misconduct at best and fraud at worst. Other emails acknowledged the
frustration the clique experienced trying to find evidence to “prove”
man-made climate change.

For instance, Tom Wigley admitted to Michael Mann that a figure used
to refute Christopher Monckton’s criticism (see later) was deceptive. He
also said there had been a number of dishonest presentations of model
output by authors and the IPCC, as when sea surface temperatures were
manipulated to make the results look both warmer and plausible.

Worse, some scientists at the Climatic Research Unit appear to have
been working in league with US scientists who compiled the climate data
for the Goddard Institute for Space Studies. The latter data appear to
contain numerous biases which inflate the supposed natural warming of
the 20th century. (In fact satellite data shows there has been no global
warming since the late 1970s and cooling since 2001, see graph.) In the
USA the Competitive Enterprise Institute has now filed three Notices of Intent to File Suit against the Goddard Institute over their 3-year refusal to provide documents requested under the US Freedom of Information Act.

Mathematician Christopher Monckton, former scientific advisor to
Margaret Thatcher, describes those implicated by the leaked emails as a
“Close-knit clique of climate scientists who invented and now drive the
“global warming” fraud — for fraud is what we now know it to be — and
tampered with temperature data”. He adds “I have reported them to the
UK’s Information Commissioner, with a request that he investigate their
offences and, if thought fit, prosecute”.

Australia’s Professor Ian Plimer agrees with Monckton’s position,
saying “Here we have the Australian government underpinning the biggest
economic decision this country has ever made and it’s all based on

Conspiracy to withhold data
There’s more. Emails appear to indicate that the clique conspired to
ensure that data was kept from other researchers who requested such data
via Freedom of Information Acts in both the UK and the USA. This is
extremely vexatious because it prevents other scientists from checking
the conclusions.

For instance, in one email Phil Jones says “The two MMs [McKitrick
and McIntyre] have been after the Climatic Research Unit’s data for
years. If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act now in
the UK, I think I’ll delete the file rather than send it to anyone”. In
other emails Tom Wigley discusses how they could deal with UK Freedom of
Information laws, and Jones suggests using technical arguments to avoid
complying, for example by saying the data was covered by agreements
with outsiders, which agreements the Climate Research Unit would then be
“hiding behind”. Jones adds that they were co-ordinating themselves to
resist Freedom of Information laws.

Another response was to simply brush off any request for the data.
For instance, when Warwick Hughes asked for the data and method that
Jones used to support his claim of a 0.6C temperature rise since the end
of the 19th century, Jones responded “We have 25 years or so invested
in the work. Why should I make the data available to you when your aim
is to try and find something wrong with it?”

Christopher Monckton makes the point: “Data destruction, as they [the
clique at the Climatic Research Unit] are about to find out to their
cost, is a criminal offence. They are not merely bad scientists — they
are crooks. And crooks who have perpetrated their crimes at the expense
of British and US taxpayers”. He was not joking — in response to the
scandal (which has been well aired in British newspapers but less so in
Australian newspapers), Phil Jones was stood down while an “inquiry” (ie
the inevitable whitewash) was carried out.

Particularly damning are the emails that appear to show the clique knew
the Earth was cooling even as they conspired to prevent this information
getting out. For example Phil Jones explains how he used Michael Mann’s
“trick of adding in the real temps to each series” to “hide the
decline”. Apparently Mann knew full well that the planet was cooling. In
another email, Tim Osborn discusses how data can be truncated to stop
an apparent cooling trend showing up in the results.

In another email, Ken Briffa confesses “I know there is pressure to
present a nice tidy story as regards apparent unprecedented warming in a
thousand years or more in the [temperature] data, but in reality the
situation is not quite so simple — I believe that the recent warmth was
probably matched about 1000 years ago”. This clearly undermines the
IPCC’s argument that current global warming is “unprecedented”. In fact
Michael Mann attempted to remove this earlier warm period using his
infamous and now thoroughly discredited “hockey stick” graph. Similarly,
one of the team (possibly Dr Jonathan Overpeck) had stated previously
to Professor David Deming “We must get rid of the Medieval Warm Period”.

IPCC manipulation of historical global temperatures

Michael Mann’s
hockey stick graph (shown in red) appears to show that the Earth’s
temperature was stable from 1400 to 1900. There is then a dramatic rise
(like the end of a hockey stick) that was claimed to be due to carbon
dioxide emissions. This graph was heavily promoted by Al Gore and his
supporters, and by the IPCC whose 2001 Summary for Policymakers claimed “that the 1990s has been the warmest decade and 1998 the warmest year of the millennium”.

It is now known that
the data had been carefully fudged to remove an inconvenient truth,
namely the Medieval Warm Period, when the world was warmer than today.
The true variation (shown in blue) includes the tail end of the Medieval
Warm Period centuries before carbon dioxide reached its present levels.
It is easy to see the problems: (1) If the world in medieval times
could be warm from natural causes that had nothing to do with carbon
dioxide, the 20th century increase could be the same. (2) The present
increase in temperature can hardly be considered hazardous when even
larger increases happened in the past. (3) The Australian government
says there is no credible evidence against man-made warming. But they
provide no empirical evidence in favour of it.

Eventually the IPCC
quietly dropped the hockey stick graph, claiming (contrary to the
evidence) that the medieval warming was local and not global. The above
graph was not in my original letter and has been redrawn from S McIntyre
& R McKitrick (2003), Corrections to the Mann et al (1998) proxy
data base and Northern Hemispheric average temperature series, Energy & Environment, 14(6), 751-771. See previous graph for changes showing global cooling since 2001.
Another incriminating email is by Dr Trenberth, a climatologist at
the US Centre for Atmospheric Research and lead author for the 2001 and
2007 IPCC assessments. He says “The fact is that we can’t account for
the lack of warming at the moment [this lack was of course completely
contrary to what the IPCC was claiming], and it is a travesty that we
can’t”. Similarly, exchanges between Wigley and Mann suggest that they
not only knew the planet was not warming but they knew little about the
energy sinks involved: “What you said was ‘we can’t account for the lack
of warming at the moment’. Now you say ‘we are nowhere close to knowing
where the energy [which should be causing warming] is going. In my eyes
these are two different things — the second relates to our level of
understanding, and I agree that this is still lacking”.

Pressurising critical journal editors
The apparent dishonesty doesn’t end there. Emails appear to indicate
that the peer-review process for journal articles was influenced by the
same clique of scientists. In one email, Phil Jones writes to Michael
Mann and asks if the work of academics who question the link between
human activities and global warming deserve to make it into the IPCC
report, implying that they should be kept out. Jones writes “Kevin
[Trenberth] and I will keep them out somehow — even if we have to
redefine what the peer-review literature is!”.

In another email, Jones and Mann discuss how they can pressure an
academic journal not to accept the work of climate skeptics with whom
they disagree. For instance, Tom Wigley complained that Professor Hans
von Storch, from the Meteorological Institute of the University of
Hamburg, was partly to blame for papers critical of man-made global
warming being published in the journal Climate Research. Wigley
suggested they tell its publishers that the journal was being used for
misinformation. He also said that whether this was true or not didn’t
matter — they needed to stop skeptical articles, if necessary by getting
the editorial board to resign.

And in some cases they succeeded. For instance, when McIntyre (one of
the two Ms previously referred to) published a skeptical paper in Geophysical Research Letters
in 2005, Michael Mann challenged the editor James Saiers over the
publication. Tom Wigley said that if the editor was skeptical about
man-made global warming they should get him ousted. And in fact the
editor did move on.

Future of the IPCC
Michael Mann sums up his pro-IPCC position in a damning email to Jones
and Schmidt: “As we all know, this [climate debate] isn’t about truth at
all, its about plausibly deniable accusations”. Some legislators have
now asked that funding be withheld until the Pennsylvania State
University takes action against Mann. Dr Eduardo Zorita, senior
scientist at the Institute for Coastal Research in Germany and IPCC
author (one of the few good guys) has stated publicly that Mann, Jones
and others should be banned from the IPCC process because “The
scientific assessments in which they may take part are not credible

Professor Mike Hulme from the University of East Anglia (the same
university that houses the Climate Research Unit) suggests that “The
IPCC has run its course. The tribalism that some of the leaked emails
display … is not attractive when we find it at work inside science”. But
it is worse than that. The IPCC Reports are the foundation for
Australia’s Garnaut Report and for the Kyoto and the Copenhagen Accord.
It seems likely that all are based on questionable science and massaged

Changing position because of the evidence
British journalist George Monbiot, environmental and political activist
and one of the fiercest media propagandists for man-made global warming,
has now reversed his position in light of the damning evidence. “It’s
no use pretending that this isn’t a major blow. The emails … from the
Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia could scarcely be
more damaging. I am now convinced that they are genuine, and I’m
dismayed and deeply shaken by them”. He goes further: “I apologise. I
was too trusting of some of those who provided the evidence I
championed. I would have been a better journalist if I had investigated
their claims more closely”.

More recently London’s Science Museum has revised the contents of its
new £4 million climate science gallery. Previously it had pushed the
idea of man-made global warming. Now it is neutral, accepting that there
are legitimate doubts about man-made effects. Even the gallery’s name
has been changed from Climate Change Gallery to Climate Science Gallery
to avoid being seen as taking sides. These changes by the 100-year-old
museum shows how deeply scientific instituitions have been shaken by
public reactions to the damaging emails.

The same is shown by Germany’s Leibnitz Association, an umbrella
group that includes among its members several climate research
institutions. It has called for the resignation of the IPCC’s president
Rajendra Pachauri.

Where does this leave the Australian government?
At present, the Australian government’s quest still appears to be the
ridiculous (and forlorn) hope of manipulating global temperatures by
tweaking the pitifully small amount of carbon dioxide that Australian
industries emit. Which is small compared with the many natural sources
such as volcanoes, decomposition of organic matter, release of dissolved
carbon dioxide by a warming ocean, and the breakdown of limestone (ie
carbonate) rocks. Furthermore carbon dioxide is a minor greenhouse gas
compared with water vapour (see next); and in the Earth’s past its
concentration was orders of magnitude higher with no associated warming.

The present level of carbon dioxide is 0.039%, of which only about
one thirtieth is man-made, whereas the level of water vapour is around
1%. So even large changes in carbon dioxide are not going to have much
effect. It is difficult to see how Australia’s Chief Scientist could
believe that, by tweaking the low levels of man-made carbon dioxide, we
can “keep the overall level of global warming at 2 degrees average”.

I can understand how some scientifically illiterate politicians might
want us to believe we have found a “magic” planetary thermostat, but
this is not the thinking I would expect of Australia’s Chief Scientist.
Let me come back to the point you made to Peter Mares about advice that
the Chief Scientist should be giving to the government, namely “The
government shouldn’t be surprised by any advice. That is to say that we
consult carefully before giving it”.

I hope you will now look closely at the growing international scandal
about the IPCC’s abuse of science, and at those who stand to make a
great deal of money from emissions trading. I also hope you will inform
the government of the 900+ peer-reviewed published papers which
challenge the notion of man-made global warming but which were ignored
by the IPCC. For example, Tedesco and Monaghan have recently published
an article in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, showing
that the ice melt during the Antarctic summer of 2008-2009 was the
lowest ever recorded in satellite data history. Let me know if you would
like the full list. Anything less would not match your claim of
“consulting carefully”.

To your credit, I note how you have recently stated that challenges
to the notion of man-made global warming deserve more attention.

Dr John Happs

[No reply or acknowledgement had been received from Professor Sackett]

Early in 2010, the 350-year-old Royal Society, Britain’s leading
scientific institution, was accused by 43 of its Fellows of refusing to
listen to dissenting views about man-made causes of global warming.

Later, in May 2010, the Society made a U-turn, saying “Any public
perception that the science [of global warming] is somehow fully settled
is wholly incorrect — there is always room for new observations,
theories, measurements.” This statement contradicted a comment by the
Society’s previous president, Lord May, who claimed “The debate on
climate change is now over.” It also contradicted the Royal Society’s
2005 publication A guide to facts and fictions about climate change, which denounced twelve “misleading arguments” that now seem far from misleading.

Sir Alan Rudge, a Fellow of the Society and former member of the UK
Government’s Scientific Advisory Committee, said the Society had adopted

an “unnecessarily alarmist position” on climate change. He added “One
of the reasons [retired] people like myself are willing to put our
heads above the parapet is that our careers are not at risk … [just]
because we say the science is not settled. The bullying of people into
silence has unfortunately been effective.”

The Society duly appointed a panel to rewrite its official position
on global warming, and in September 2010 the panel published a new guide
Climate change: a summary of the science that (it says) “lays
out clearly” the areas that are certain, moderately certain, or
uncertain. But follow the money. The Society is partially funded by the
British Government, so it is not going to let science stand in the way
of funding. And indeed, its new guide fails to deliver.

Instead of clearly saying things like “there is agreement (or
disagreement) on X”, which is surely not an impossible task, it waffles
on about “observations are scarce” or “current understanding
indicates…”, or it obfuscates by referring to improved data such as
satellite data without saying what the data show, or to “evidence from
ice cores indicates an active role for CO2” without mentioning that historical CO2 levels rise and fall hundreds of years after
temperature changes, which of course is the wrong way round, all of
which leaves you to do all the work. Dissenting views are never
described. There are just two references, one of which is the IPCC, and
the other quotes the IPCC.

It gets worse. The guide was written by a 13-person working group,
most of them FRS’s. It received input or reviews from 18 others, most of
them FRS’s, none of whom were asked to endorse the conclusions. They
might not have endorsed even if asked, because the conclusions support
the IPCC’s claim that the present global warming is man-made. More
specifically, the guide takes the observed climate, subtracts what the
far-from-certain models predict without man-made inputs, and confidently
declares that the difference must be man-made. It never points out that
this is precisely what the dispute is all about, nor why we should
believe the Royal Society rather than equally well qualified dissenters,
or why just four months earlier it had stated that seeing the matter as
“somehow fully settled is wholly incorrect”. Two U-turns in a row?

Dispute continues
And the dispute continues to grow. Most bookshops have a choice of
titles disputing the IPCC’s conclusions, such as the best-selling SuperFreakonomics (2010) which has an especially powerful chapter demolishing the IPCC, and Ian Plimer’s Heaven+Earth
(2009) that does the same in exquisite detail backed by over 2000
references. To illustrate their no-nonsense titles, here are some more
examples and their authors published during 2008 and 2009 (* indicates
those written by scientists who really know the field). Google the
titles to learn more:

Climate Change Reconsidered: The Report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (Singer & Idso 2009*). Global Warming False Alarm: The Bad Science Behind the United Nation’s Assertion that Man-Made CO2 Causes Global Warming (Alexander 2009). Air Con: The Seriously Inconvenient Truth About Global Warming (Wishart 2009). Climate of Extremes: Global Warming Science They Don’t Want You to Know (Michaels 2009*). The Sky Is Not Falling: Putting Climate Change on Trial (Wiskel 2008). Taken by Storm: The Troubled Science, Policy and Politics of Global Warming 2nd Edition (Essex & McKitrick 2008*). Unstoppable Global Warming — Every 1500 Years Updated Edition (Singer & Avery 2008*). Red Hot Lies: How Global Warming Alarmists use Threats, Fraud, and Deception to Keep You Misinformed (Horner 2008). The Deniers: The World-Renowned Scientists who stood up against Global Warming Hysteria, Political Persecution and Fraud (Solomon 2008*). Climate Confusion: How Global Warming Hysteria leads to Bad Science, Pandering Politicians and Misguided Policies that Hurt the Poor (Spencer 2008*).

Recently Scientific American (a strong IPCC supporter)
polled its readers via its website. Of over 7000 respondents, 83.8%
think the IPCC is “a corrupt organization, prone to groupthink, with a
political agenda”, 69.4% think we should do nothing about climate change
since “we are powerless to stop it”, and 68.0% think governments should
keep science out of the political process. When asked “How much would
you be willing to pay to forestall the risk of catastrophic climate
change?”, 79.6% said “nothing”. Scientific American
subsequently claimed the poll was hijacked by referrals from, the most visited (over 2 million hits per
month) and arguably the most informative climate website, albeit a
dissenting one, in which case why did Scientific American publish the results in the first place?

Even more recently the total of dissenting international scientists
exceeded 1000, among them 46 climate specialists who once worked for the
IPCC but have now resigned or become dissenters. Here are six examples
of their views:

Dr Vincent Gray: “The [IPCC] climate change statement is an orchestrated litany of lies.” Dr Mike Hulme:
“Claims such as ’2,500 of the world’s leading scientists have reached a
consensus that human activities are having a significant influence on
the climate’ are disingenuous … The actual number of scientists who
backed that claim was only a few dozen.” Dr Chris Landsea:
“I cannot in good faith continue to contribute to a process that I view
as both being motivated by pre-conceived agendas and being
scientifically unsound.” Dr Richard Lindzen: “The IPCC
process is driven by politics rather than science. It uses summaries to
misrepresent what scientists say and exploits public ignorance.” Dr Fred Singer:
“Isn’t it remarkable that the Policymakers Summary of the IPCC report
avoids mentioning the satellite data altogether, or even the existence
of satellites — probably because the data show a (slight) cooling over
the last 18 years, in direct contradiction to the calculations from
climate models?” Dr David Wojick: “The public is not well served by this constant drumbeat of alarms fed by computer models manipulated by advocates.”

Remember these are not crackpot deniers but climate specialists who
once worked for the IPCC. Nor are they the only group of informed
scientists who are criticising the IPCC’s findings — there are at least a
dozen others such as The Heidelberg Appeal with 4000 signatures
including 62 Nobel prizewinners, and The Oregon Petition with 31,000
accredited scientists. All 1000+ views, and all of the original material
mentioned above, can be reached by Googling “Royal Society climate
change”, “Scientific American climate poll”, “climate change Watts up
with that”, and “climate change 1000 scientists dissent”. Or visit
Wikipedia, which should be trustworthy now that the previous climate
administrator William Connolley, a Green Party activist in Britain, has
been sacked for deliberately altering or suppressing thousands of
submissions to make them more favourable to man-made global warming.

An article by Lawrence Solomon in Canada’s Financial Post for 20 December 2009 entitled How Wikipedia’s green doctor rewrote 5428 climate articles
spelt out the details, which included: “When Connolley didn’t like the
subject of a certain article, he removed it — more than 500 articles of
various descriptions disappeared at his hand. When he disapproved of the
arguments that others were making, he often had them barred — over 2000
Wikipedia contributors who ran afoul of him found themselves blocked
from making further contributions. Acolytes whose writings conformed to
Connolley’s global warming views, in contrast, were rewarded with
Wikipedia’s blessings. In these ways, Connolley turned Wikipedia into
the missionary wing of the global warming movement.” Google “William
Connelley” for more.

Computer uncertainty
The uncertainty of computer climate models is a fact of life. It is
guaranteed by the engulfing complexity of climate, the absence of
reliable historical data (that is, direct data like temperatures as
opposed to indirect data like tree rings), and the many areas of
expertise required like the temperature effects of oceans or clouds or
greenhouse gases, the study of ice cores or tree rings or solar cycles,
to name only a few, each of which represents an entire discipline. The
UK Met Office with its £33 million supercomputer predicted a scorching
summer for the UK in 2009 (it was a washout) and a warm winter for 2010
(it was the coldest since Central England Temperature records began in

In the UK skepticism is now the prevailing public sentiment. The
European and global financial crisis has focussed attention on the
insanity of squandering $45 trillion ($45,000,000,000,000) on a possibly
imaginary threat, whose only sure outcome is to make carbon traders
billionaires. In March 2010 London’s famous Science Museum, aware of
discontent about one-sided views in its Climate Change Gallery, changed its name to the Climate Science Gallery in which skeptic views are welcome.

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