Global Warming Has Stopped

Baffled German Government Concedes! “Global Warming Has Stopped…Warming Pause Is Remarkable…Unexpected”

By P Gosselin on 5. Mai 2013


Green Radio of the Umweltbundesamt – UBA - (German Federal Department of the Environment) recently had a radio interview with Henrik Kirchhof, some climate expert for the UBA I guess. Topic: Why has there been no warming in 15 years?

The German government finally concedes.

The host of the interview starts by telling the audience that “climate scientists have come under pressure because the average temperature indeed has not risen in 15 years“. Kirchhof:

<blockquote>In the years leading up to the year 2000, the temperature
curve rose very sharply. But since then it isn’t rising so, in fact
it’s not rising at all, the curve. The average temperature has stagnated
at a very high level – we sort of have a plateau, and that during a
time when CO2 emissions have risen considerably.”
</blockquote>
Kirchhof then claims the 15-year period of stagnation is indeed
relatively short, and, to add authority to this, Prof. Jochem Marotzke
of the warmist Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg provides an audio comment:

<blockquote>What we are seeing here is a relatively short-term
fluctuation, If one really wants to know how CO2 and global temperature
are related, then you have to look at a longer time period.”
</blockquote>
Marotzke refuses to say how long, though. We do know that CO2 was at
about 280 ppm for 1000 years before the Industrial Revolution, and that
during this time the global temperature fluctuated more than 1°C (in
sync with solar activity). Of course Marotzke only wants to go back to
1900, as beyond that there is no correlation with CO2.

Kirchhof then adds (my emphasis):

<blockquote>…there is no doubt about the greenhouse effect, but even so this warming pause is remarkable because the climate scientists with all their models did not expect this.”
</blockquote>
At this point Kirchhof of Green radio of the German Federal
Department of the Environment are finally admitting that there are
suddenly many more unknowns than they first thought, that the warmist
scientists are indeed baffled, and that the science is not settled after
all.

At the 2-minute mark, a somewhat surprised host is forced to ask how
can it be that the temperature has not risen even though more CO2 is
being emitted into the atmosphere. Here Kirchhof, in summary, admits
they don’t know why:

<blockquote>Yeah, that’s the big question. The scientists here are not completely sure. But there are many possible explanations.”
</blockquote>
Many possible explanations? That means they don’t have freaking clue!
When it comes to complex systems like climate, it takes years and years
of analyses and observation to untangle it all. Kirchhof (my emphasis):

<blockquote>A big role may be played by the oceans, which possibly
are absorbing more heat, and so the additional heat is no longer being
taken up by the atmosphere but instead is moving into the water. This
can be measured. However if these surface water temperatures increased
sharply until 15 years ago but now have stagnated, then it means that
the ocean is absorbing more heat than it did before. You can suspect
this, it’s very plausible, but you cannot prove it because of
methodology reasons, says Jochem Marotzke.”
</blockquote>
Marotzke:

<blockquote>The problem is, although it is plausible, and it is in principle in agreement with model calculations, the problem is that we do not have enough good measurements from the past to say: ‘Ah, back then the deep oceans absorbed less heat and today it is taking in more heat. These observations are simply missing.”
</blockquote>
It makes us wonder with so much missing data and so many unknowns,
how could they even have dared to think the science was settled a few
years ago? Suddenly they tell us they don’t know squat, that they are
completely baffled, and that they are scrambling for explanations!






The host then asks Kirchhof if there are other possible explanations. Kirchhof:

<blockquote>Yes. For example they have measured that the stratosphere
has gotten drier. And when there is less water vapor up there in the
stratosphere, then less heat is radiated back down. However, the
scientists who have found this out have themselves said this effect
is too small and only accounts for a quarter of the stopped warming.”
</blockquote>
They can’t find the heat. Unknowns, mysteries, surprises…such is the
life of a closed-minded climate scientist. But apart from all that, they
are sure of the science.

The host then asks about the remaining three quarters of the heat.
Kirchhof plays the aerosol card, which the IPCC loves to play whenever
cooling isn’t supposed to happen, like from 1945 to 1975:

<blockquote>Yes. there’s also a third theory that sounds plausible
for laypeople, namely that more dust particles, ‘dirt’ in everyday
terms, is high up in the atmosphere. As a result, less solar radiation
reaches the Earth and so as a whole it gets cooler.”
</blockquote>
Kirchhof then goes on to say that Chinese and Indian power plants may
be to blame for this, and says that polluting the atmosphere is not the
way to solve climate change.

The host then brings up the excellent question of how long a pause in
warming is necessary before climate scientists really have to rethink
their science. Kirchhof:

<blockquote>There are in fact prognoses that this plateau could go on
another five years, and if that indeed occurs, and meteorologist Jochem
Marotzke also says the same, then there is something seriously wrong
with the models, also when certain fluctuations cannot be precisely
forecast.”
</blockquote>
Five more years and all their arguments will disappear. And in ten
years the climate scientists are going to be left standing there looking
like total asses – because it’s not going to get warmer for another 30
years. The PDO, AMO and sun are all now beginning their cold phases
simultaneously. One only needs to look at the past winters to see the
first indications. If one major volcano blows then we are very likely
back to the Little Ice Age conditions of the 17th century.

========================================
UPDATE: Meteorologist Joe Bastardi just tweeted: “IF THEY WOULD LOOK AT THE 1950S THEY WOULD SEE THERE IS NO EXCUSE FOR
THEIR BLUNDER”
========================================

The models would have had much better results had the scientists
taken the ocean cycles into account. But they refused to consider them
because the warming that occurred from 1980 to 2000 would have had to be
assigned in part to the warm phase of the ocean cycles, and
correspondingly less so for CO2. The scientists were too obsessed with
blaming every warming on CO2. Result: the climate scientists are left
standing on the verge of humiliation today. All this is explained in
detail by Fritz Vahrenholt and Sebastian Lüning in their book: Die kalte Sonne.

It should therefore come as no surprise that the only model that is
correct today so far is the one proposed by Lüning and Vahrenholt, who
took ocean and solar cycles into account. The UBA would do the German
taxpayers a huge favor by reading this book.

Also crackpot scientists out there should really think twice before
opening up their big, alarmist mouths in the near future. Us skeptics
aren’t going to let you off the hook by any means in 5 years time.
Whether you get tarred and feathered in 2020 depends on what you say
today. Do you really want to become the David Viners and Mojib Latifs of
the future?

Amazingly, the alarmist scientists are looking at everything except
what’s really obvious: the sun. Solar activity during the 20th century
was at it’s highest level in 500 or more years, but today it is at its
lowest level in some 200 years. Gee, you think that could matter? The
data clearly show that it did in the past.

To sum it up, it is amusing to see the UBA all baffled, surprised,
and now scurrying for explanations. My feeling is that unless certain
people smarten up real quick, there is going to be a lot to laugh about
in the years ahead.


Source:-
http://notrickszone.com/2013/05/05/baffled-german-government-concedes-global-warming-has-stopped-warming-pause-is-remarkable-unexpected/